Canadian Defence Matters is
attempting to come up with some answers
to
the ten questions contained in the public consultation paper.
In
a first attempt to answer the question “Are there any threats
to Canada’s
security that are not being addressed adequately?” Canadian Defence Matters
tried to make the point that many of the most pressing threats to Canadian
security could not be narrowly defined as military in nature.
In an interview with Tom
Clark on the Global program “The West Block” the former Chief of Defence Staff, General Tom Lawson, suggested that
the biggest threats to Canada that he envisaged were natural disasters and “probably some sort of cyber threat to our
systems, our energy systems, our computer systems, things that we bank on that
would change our way of life very, very quickly”
That analysis has been backed
up in recent interviews with former CSIS head and national security advisor
Richard Fadden who has suggested that cyber attacks and/or terrorist attacks
were his main concern.
The argument can be made that even if Canada’s cyber capabilities were
to be “weaponized” as Richard Fadden has suggested could
happen, the choice to use such a weapon would still be a political rather then
a military one, taking it out of the sphere of Defence.
One of the things these
threats have in common is that they are not, strictly speaking, military threats.
As it stands, obviously, the Canadian Armed Forces have an important role to
play in addressing these dangers, but that does not make them military threats.
If we accept that it is a
mistake to class all our security threats as military threats, it still raises
the question, “Are there any military threats to Canada’s security that are not
being addressed adequately?”
The military problems of
Canada were neatly addressed in a still relevant book by that doyen of Canadian
military history, C. P. Stacey, in his appropriately titled book “The Military Problems of Canada”, first published by The Ryerson Press
in 1940. That some of the basics covered
in that book are still germane is illustrated by Gen. Lawson’s comment that “We’ve got big wide tank ditches between us
and any other continents called the Atlantic
and the Pacific and another one to the north.”
Using
a definition of a strictly military threat, that is, “the armed forces of other
countries which could threaten Canada
and which belong to non-democratic countries” (i.e. countries with which Canada could conceivably find itself at war)
there are at present only two countries which pose a military threat to Canada’s
security.
Russia, the successor to the old
Soviet Union, maintains nuclear weapons capable of devastating Canada.
More to the point, we share an increasingly accessible border in the North
which they continue to reinforce militarily.
China, an increasingly
expansionist power, whose outspoken designs on disputed waters in the western
Pacific could bring them in to conflict with Canadian allies. Any war between
involving China and her
neighbors, let alone the United States,
would have serious repercussions for Canada.
Neither
of these threats is sufficiently severe to warrant the complete re-ordering of
Canadian military priorities. At the same time neither threat can be ignored.
In order to adequately address the military threats to Canada, the
Department of National Defence and the Armed Forces needs to re-orient
resources.
As
a response to our shared border with Russia
it means creating or re-tasking sufficient forces to be able to demonstrate, on a regular basis, the ability to
monitor and control activity within our Northern
territories and to be able to mount effective
responses to emerging situations within those territories.
As a response to China, Canada
needs a ‘Pacific Pivot’, which would involve orienting more of our Naval and
Air Forces from the Atlantic to the Pacific.
These
measures, if taken with no loss to the objective of maintaining a general purpose military force capable of actions across
the full spectrum of operations, would suffice to deal with current military
threats to Canada’s
security.
Defence
Policy Review Public Consultation Paper http://dgpaapp.forces.gc.ca/en/defence-policy-review/docs/defence-policy-review-consultation-paper.pdf
Defence Policy Review
Have your say: Defence Policy
Review 2016
DEFENCE
POLICY REVIEW.
CANADA'S DEFENCE POLICY REVIEW
Plane Talk’ with Canada’s
top soldier, on the biggest threat to Canada
Former CSIS head Richard
Fadden says Canada
could someday carry out cyber attacks
The Military Problems of Canada
a Survey of Defence Policies and Strategic Conditions Past and Present